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Valuation model

Stock-to-Flow Model

Scarcity-driven model price compared with Bitcoin market price

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Chart informationStock-to-Flow Model

About This Indicator

The Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow model estimates Bitcoin value from scarcity, using the ratio between existing supply and new issuance. It is most useful as long-term historical context around halving cycles.

Current Value & Interpretation

Current price
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Model price
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Stock-to-Flow Ratio
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Price vs. model
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Waiting for the latest Stock-to-Flow model calculation.

Data Sources

  • Bitcoin price: CoinGecko API
  • Supply schedule: Bitcoin issuance and halving schedule
  • Calculation: Stock-to-Flow ratio and model price calculated from Bitcoin supply and issuance flow

Last Updated

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Related Charts

  • Stock-to-Income RatioExtends the Stock-to-Flow idea by folding miner transaction fees/income into the issuance side, giving another lens on Bitcoin scarcity and model valuation.
  • MVRV Z-ScoreCompares Bitcoin market value with realized value, normalized to a Z-Score, to identify historically overheated and undervalued conditions.
  • Realized PriceEstimates the average on-chain acquisition price of circulating coins (aggregate cost basis). Spot below realized price implies aggregate loss; spot far above implies a large profit premium.
  • Bitcoin Power Law ChartModels Bitcoin price as a power function of time since genesis, with floor and ceiling bands that have historically contained price action across market cycles.