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Bitcoin Support & Resistance

Power-law trendline with support/resistance bands, plus BTC-vs-model and BTC/gold Z-score overheating gauges

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Chart informationBitcoin Support & Resistance

About This Indicator

Models Bitcoin's long-term price trend as a power law of time since genesis, with support and resistance bands as fixed multiples of that trendline. The "BTC vs Power Law" panel shows price's percentage deviation from the trendline, and the "52w Z-score" panel shows how stretched the BTC/gold ratio is relative to its own trailing 52-week average — both are overheating/undervaluation gauges layered under the price chart.

Current Value & Interpretation

Current price
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Data Sources

  • Bitcoin price: CoinGecko API via backend price history
  • Model: power law regression - log10(Price) = 5.845 x log10(days since genesis) - 17.016
  • Support / Resistance: x0.25 below / x10 above model price
  • Gold price: Yahoo Finance (COMEX gold futures, GC=F), daily close

Last Updated

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Related Charts

  • Stock-to-Flow ModelCompares existing Bitcoin supply (stock) with new issuance (flow) to model scarcity. The app derives a model price from the ratio using the calibration 0.4 × ratio³.
  • Stock-to-Income RatioExtends the Stock-to-Flow idea by folding miner transaction fees/income into the issuance side, giving another lens on Bitcoin scarcity and model valuation.
  • MVRV Z-ScoreCompares Bitcoin market value with realized value, normalized to a Z-Score, to identify historically overheated and undervalued conditions.
  • Realized PriceEstimates the average on-chain acquisition price of circulating coins (aggregate cost basis). Spot below realized price implies aggregate loss; spot far above implies a large profit premium.