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Trend indicator

Bitcoin: Gaussian Channel (Weekly)

Smoothed trend filter with volatility bands, plotted on weekly BTC closes

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Chart informationBitcoin: Gaussian Channel (Weekly)

About This Indicator

The Gaussian Channel is a smoothed trend filter (Ehlers 4-pole Gaussian filter, 144-period) plotted on weekly BTC closes, with upper/lower bands sized by filtered volatility. The mid filter line is colored green while it's rising (bull regime) and red while it's falling (bear regime) — since the filter is heavily smoothed, this color has historically flipped close to actual cycle tops and bottoms rather than on short-term noise. 50-week and 200-week EMAs are also plotted as widely-used long-term trend references.

Current Value & Interpretation

BTC price
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Channel filter
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50-week EMA
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200-week EMA
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Market regime
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Waiting for enough weekly history to warm up the Gaussian filter (144 weeks).

Data Sources

  • Bitcoin price: CoinGecko API via backend price history, resampled from daily closes into weekly bars.
  • Calculation: 4-pole Gaussian filter, 144-week sampling period, 1.414x band multiplier, plus 50-week and 200-week EMAs (each seeded with a matching-length SMA) — computed entirely from existing price history, no separate external data source required.

Last Updated

Waiting for data

Related Charts

  • 2-Year MA MultiplierCalculates the 730-day moving average and multiplier bands from 2× to 5×, used as an investor tool: historically favorable to buy near/below the 2-year MA and consider selling into the higher multiplier bands.
  • Mayer MultipleBitcoin price divided by its 200-day moving average.
  • 200-Week MA HeatmapApproximates the 200-week moving average using a 1400-day moving average, coloring price by its ratio to that long-term baseline. Near the 200-week MA has historically acted as long-term support/reference; high multiples above it show extended cycle conditions.
  • 4-Year Moving AverageTracks BTC price against its trailing 1,460-day (4-year, roughly one full halving cycle) moving average. Averaging across an entire cycle smooths out individual bull/bear swings, acting as a long-term trend anchor.