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Cycle Indicators

Bitcoin Bull-Bear Cycle Indicator

A disclosed proxy for CryptoQuant's Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator, classifying a smoothed Overheat Score into five market regimes

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Chart informationBitcoin Bull-Bear Cycle Indicator

About This Indicator

Inspired by CryptoQuant's "Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator" (a closed-source indicator with no published methodology), this chart is a disclosed proxy built entirely from signals already used elsewhere in this app: it reuses the Overheat Score's -100 to +100 composite of ten on-chain and technical signals, smooths it with a 30-day moving average, and classifies the result into five regimes. Overheated Bull and Extreme Bear trigger at the same +/-60 "extreme" thresholds already used by the Overheat Score chart. Early Bull is its own short-lived state: the first 90 days after the 30-day MA turns positive out of a Bear reading, as long as it stays below +40 — a stronger break, or the 90-day cap, graduates it to a full Bull reading. The 365-day MA of the same score is plotted as a slower-moving trend-context line.

Current Value & Interpretation

BTC price
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Bull-Bear 30-day MA
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Regime
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Waiting for enough history to warm up the 30-day moving average.

Data Sources

  • Underlying score: the same composite of ten signals used by the Bitcoin Overheat Score chart (MVRV Z-Score, Fear & Greed Index, Rainbow Bands, Realized Price / NUPL, VDD Multiple, Pi Cycle Top, Mayer Multiple, Puell Multiple, Global M2 YoY).
  • Regime classification: a disclosed proxy for CryptoQuant's Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator, not a replication — the real methodology is undisclosed.

Last Updated

Waiting for data

Related Charts

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