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On-Chain Collection

Bitcoin Overheat Score

A ten-signal composite oscillator marking historically overheated and capitulation-style conditions

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Chart informationBitcoin Overheat Score

About This Indicator

Overheat Score is a composite of ten on-chain and technical signals (MVRV Z-Score, Fear & Greed Index, Rainbow Bands, Realized Price premium, NUPL, VDD Multiple, Pi Cycle Top, Mayer Multiple, Puell Multiple, and Global M2 YoY), each scored and weighted, then combined into a single -100 to +100 reading for every day of Bitcoin's history. Positive readings (red) mark historically overheated, elevated sell-risk conditions; negative readings (green) mark historically capitulation-style, accumulation-favourable conditions. Not every signal has data for the full history — the score is normalized over whichever signals are available on a given day.

Current Value & Interpretation

BTC price
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Overheat Score
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Regime
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Waiting for Overheat Score data.

Data Sources

  • Bitcoin price: CoinGecko API via backend price history
  • Composite of ten signals already used elsewhere in this app: MVRV Z-Score, Fear & Greed Index, Rainbow Bands, Realized Price / NUPL, VDD Multiple, Pi Cycle Top, Mayer Multiple, Puell Multiple, and Global M2 YoY

Last Updated

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Related Charts

  • Bitcoin Rainbow Price ChartPlaces Bitcoin price into long-term logarithmic valuation bands. Lower bands (Fire Sale, Buy, Accumulate, Still Cheap) historically represent accumulation zones; higher bands (Is This A Bubble?, FOMO Intensifies, Sell Seriously, Maximum Bubble Territory) represent overheated conditions. Should not be used alone.
  • Bitcoin On-Chain Value MapPlaces Bitcoin price into five long-term logarithmic valuation zones (Heavy Undervalued to Heavy Overvalued) with all-time-high markers. A coarser, plain-English cousin of the Bitcoin Rainbow chart. Should not be used alone.
  • Pi Cycle Top IndicatorCompares the 111-day moving average with 2× the 350-day moving average. A crossover has historically occurred near major Bitcoin cycle tops. Wide gap = early/mid-cycle; narrowing gap = rising top risk; crossover = historically important warning.
  • Bitcoin CVDDCumulative Value Days Destroyed tracks accumulated value-time of coin movements relative to market age. It has historically marked major Bitcoin price bottoms — used as a cycle-bottom signal.